Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.357296 0.413733 0.473066 0.539809 0.612516 0.689049 0.775427
2024-12-29 0.285193 0.363973 0.451846 0.555984 0.674911 0.805440 0.958474
2025-01-05 0.222210 0.312787 0.419817 0.552915 0.711365 0.891511 1.109356
2025-01-12 0.175895 0.273102 0.394569 0.552459 0.747428 0.975834 1.259168
2025-01-19 0.145203 0.247583 0.382303 0.564393 0.796341 1.074845 1.427462
2025-01-26 0.122899 0.229275 0.376160 0.581729 0.850697 1.180410 1.604948
2025-02-02 0.104734 0.213591 0.371025 0.598560 0.903505 1.284167 1.781463
2025-02-09 0.084403 0.190858 0.353032 0.595686 0.929177 1.353283 1.915484
2025-02-16 0.071052 0.176824 0.345651 0.605922 0.971244 1.442980 2.075753
2025-02-23 0.057233 0.159133 0.330483 0.603264 0.994683 1.508112 2.205103
2025-03-02 0.042325 0.135793 0.303438 0.580647 0.988624 1.533302 2.282596
2025-03-09 0.035224 0.126341 0.297830 0.589196 1.025634 1.615380 2.433970
2025-03-16 0.026322 0.110615 0.279972 0.578060 1.034664 1.661015 2.540066
2025-03-23 0.023050 0.107430 0.284031 0.601541 1.094330 1.776237 2.739334
2025-03-30 0.017897 0.097568 0.274480 0.602140 1.119927 1.844924 2.877608
2025-04-06 0.013805 0.088969 0.266151 0.603897 1.146807 1.915396 3.018799
2025-04-13 0.011344 0.084415 0.265263 0.617880 1.192191 2.012071 3.196094
2025-04-20 0.009601 0.081575 0.267498 0.637072 1.245674 2.120575 3.390247
2025-04-27 0.008056 0.078724 0.269321 0.655412 1.298015 2.227967 3.583821
2025-05-04 0.005774 0.071151 0.259700 0.652633 1.316973 2.287769 3.712746
2025-05-11 0.004497 0.067250 0.257881 0.663666 1.357681 2.379018 3.885478
2025-05-18 0.003050 0.060772 0.248983 0.660936 1.376047 2.437952 4.013927
2025-05-25 0.001551 0.050818 0.229612 0.636952 1.358953 2.444528 4.069299